Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor. Heck, i am not even working in the financial industry. Below are my interpretation and i am grateful if you will let me know if anything i say is wrong and i will correct it in a reasonable time. I am not an expert and don't wish to be assumed to be one. I make losses frequently.
Below are a list of questions that members of the Telegram Group raised.
If i missed out any of your questions, do forgive me. I have submitted the questions to Hyflux.
Below are a list of questions that members of the Telegram Group raised.
If i missed out any of your questions, do forgive me. I have submitted the questions to Hyflux.
1
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What is the
breakeven USEP?
On what basis is
Hyflux so confident that the USEP will rise?
What's the plan if
USEP doesn't rise or Tuaspring is not divested?
How much the retail
investors can get back if Tuaspring is sold at book value, below book value
and above book value?
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2
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There was a consent
solicitation exercise on Jan 2015 which was completed in Feb 2015.
Would Hyflux
have been in breach of any financial convenants to the bondholders,
without this consent solicitation exercise?
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3
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Hyflux announced on
10 May 2018 of a coupon payment to BTWZ.
The ex-dividend is
on 27 Maly 2018.
Dividends were given
to the ordinary shareholders on Feb 2018.
Hyflux has broken a
convenant.
We do not want to
waive the right of default.
If we are asked to
waive our right to hold Hyflux to a default, why should we do it since it
will not harm the cashflow or operations of Hyflux?
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4
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The unrestricted
cash position is only SGD18.6 million in June 2018.
Did Hyflux notice
its cash position when declaring coupon for BTWZ in May?
Where did Hyflux
planned to get the cash for BTWZ coupon originally?
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5
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In 2017,part of the
issuance of btwz was used to redeem 2 tranches of wholesale perpetuals
which were issued in 2014, while N2H was issued in 2011.
We would like retail
investors to be treated fairly and equally on par with non retail investors.
Accredited/wholesale investors may be thought of as those fully aware and
capable to stomach all risks.
Why were the N2H not redeemed instead since it was issued
earlier than the wholesale perpetuals?
What is the detailed
plan to redeem the retail preference shares (N2H) and perpetuals (BTWZ)?
What are the
milestones that must be reached before the redemption occurs?
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6
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The management of
other companies facing similar fate to Hyflux has shown a willingness to take
responsibility.
Ezion CEO took a pay
cut of 19% in 2015, 42% in 2016 and another 38% in 2017. Total pay cut of 71%
, comparing 2014 to 2017.
Why isn’t Hyflux
management not taking such paycuts early on and deferred bonuses?
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7
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The wholesale
bondholders generally consists of more sophisticated investors who have the
capacity and resources to take on more risk or losses. The retail investors
are less sophisticated with many of them retirees who could have used the CPF
funds which are meant for retirement purposes.
Are there any new terms given to the
wholesale bondholders?
Can you share with
us how these new terms will disadvantage the retail investors?
Can you share us
whether Hyflux took into consideration the different investor profile of the
whole investors and the retail investors to determine the new terms?
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8
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We noticed that the remuneration
in stock options for the Chairwoman/CEO/Founder reduced along the years,
while the cash component of her salary increased.
Hyflux
is currently facing cashflow issues.
Can you explain the
rationale for increasing the cash component of salary?
Going forward, can
we have a higher percentage in stock options instead of cash to show alignment
of interest?
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9
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When comparing
salary( cash) with Hyflux industry peers, Chairwoman/Founder/CEO seems to
have the largest salary in cash, despite making losses, while her peers are
still profitable.
Peers are Darco, Citic Environtech, Moya
Holdings, China Everbright.
What is the rationale for this?
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10
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When comparing with
Hyflux’s industry peers, Hyflux seems to have directors, as a percentage, who
have served the longest on the board?
Peers are Darco, Citic Environtech, Moya
Holdings, China Everbright.
What is the
rationale for this?
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11
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When comparing with
Hyflux’s industry peers, other than Darco, Hyflux is the only other company
with Chairwoman and CEO position under the same person
Peers are Darco, Citic Environtech, Moya
Holdings, China Everbright.
What is the
rationale for this?
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12
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We noted that Hyflux
has never done a placement or rights issue as a form of fund raising. In
comparison, her peers have actively done a mixture of rights and placement,
in addition to borrowing and bond issuance. Peers include Citic Envirotech,
Darco, China Everbright, SIIC Enviroment holdings and Moya Holdings Asia
Why were there no
rights or placement shares in the history of Hyflux?
Are there any
current investors looking to invest through placement and will you be open to
dilution?
Would you prefer to
borrow or do a placement in this current situation?
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13
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Hyflux has conducted
massive sharebuybacks across the years from 2011 to 2015.
During this period,
Hyflux has also borrowed money from retail investors and wholesale investors.
The cashflow of
Hyflux is poor.
What is the rationale for conducting such
massive sharebuybacks?
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14
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Hyflux bidded $0.45
per cubic metre with PUB for 1st year while TP-STM bidded $0.91 per cubic
metre in 2017.
Why did Hyflux bid
so low?
Will the price with
PUB increase after first year and will this help in the cashflow of Hyflux?
Is the loss of TS
contributed partly by the low price to PUB?
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15
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Besides TS, are
there any other projects that are facing loss?
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16
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Hyflux has stated
that the loss was mainly attributed to Tuaspring and there is currently an
oversupplied electricity market.
Current supply and demand can be easily
calculated.
Tuaspring is also
one of the largest investments by Hyflux .
The electricity
market is also a new venture to Hyflux.
During planning of
Tuaspring, did Hyflux forsee the oversupply of electricity?
Regarding the
forecasted electricity demand, where did Hyflux get this information from and
how different is the forecasted demand compared with the current demand?
Was there some
incentives given to Hyflux such that Hyflux made such a fatal bet on
this market?
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17
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Hyfluxshop issued
SGD20 million worth of preference shares to Hyflux.
Hyflux currently is
facing cashflow issues itself and should not be in the position to lend fund.
Why didn’t HyfluxShop
issue the preference shares to Olivia or find other investor/source of funds
instead?
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18
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Is Hyflux seeking
any government assistance?
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19
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There is a recent
hike of electricity tariffs of 6.9% in 3rd quarter of 2018.
How much does Tuaspring
benefit from this hike?
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20
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There is a recent
hike of water tariffs of 30% in July 2018.
How much does Tuaspring
benefit from this hike?
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21
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The revenue of
generators consist of those sold in the wholesale market ( USEP price ) and
those sold to SP Group ( vesting price)
What is the
percentage of Hyflux revenue dependent on vesting price and USEP price?
What is the
percentage of Hyflux electricity taken up by the vesting contracts?
Does Hyflux have
visibility on the amount of vesting contracts it will be entitled to when
planning for Tuaspring?
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22
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Hyflux has stated that
she is trying to sell Tianjing Dagang and Tuaspring.
Tianjing Dagang is an
asset in China, while Tuaspring is an asset in Singapore and we know that
Singapore is facing an oversupply of electricity.
Both have taken a longer
than expected time to sell.
Are there any
inherent issues with Tianjing Dagang that it is taking such a long time to
sell?
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23
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TuasOne is coming online
in end 2018 or 2019. This will add to the supply of electricity.
Will TuasOne be
another Tuaspring?
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24
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Hyflux built Tuaspring
in 2012.
Hyflux must have based
the investment on demand and supply considerations.
Did Hyflux take into
account electricity sources from other embedded generation and renewables
such as solar generation to determine the supply?
Were such information
readily available for Hyflux then?
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Further reading