Saturday, October 7, 2017

SIA Engineering and JP Morgan Asset Management

I understand that SIA Engineering was dropped as a STI Component on 1 Sep 2017 and this remains the most possible explanation for now, though lingering doubts remain.

The Curious Case of SIA Engineering
SIA Engineering and try to make sense of JP Morgan's sale

Based on SGX website, the Edge Singapore mentioned JP Morgan Asset Management Real Assets (Singapore) Pte Ltd, so i went to google and it brought me to a list of funds managed by JP Morgan Asset Management.


The most likely place a stake such as SIA Engineering would be hiding in would be in the following 3 funds.

JP Morgan Funds - Singapore Fund (Total fund size of USD63 Million)
JP Morgan Funds - Singapore Fund


JP Morgan Funds - Asean Equity ( Total fund size of USD433.9 Million)
JP Morgan Funds - ASEAN Equity

JP Morgan Funds - Asia Pacific Equity (Total fund size of USD 919 Million)
JP Morgan Funds - Asia Pacific
Based on the total fund size and top ten holdings, it is impossible for SIA Engineering to be among the list of funds above, unless they bought it after July 2017. The traded volume, however, does not correspond to this hypothesis.
Maybe, it is in the other entities of JP Morgan. Anyhow, let's see what SGX emails back with.


Thursday, October 5, 2017

Sia Engineering - trying to make sense JP Morgan's sale

SIA Engineering's response to SGX queries still sheds no light on why JP Morgan offered to sell 28 million shares. Looking at the volume traded on 4 october, about 5.5 million shares changed hands through SGX. The past 2-3 months total volume also don't add up to 28 million which mean they haven't sold it yet. Could they have done it through a married deal and who is the counterparty? According to SGX rulebook, married deal needs to be reported.

8.7.4

Direct Business must be reported through the married trade reporting system of the Trading System under Rule 8.7.5.
I need to be educated on this.

How did Reuters or Bloomberg know about this? And why would JP Morgan make it a public news? Very curious.

Actually, people tend to focus on the bad news but every sale has a buyer and what if the buyer who is not known is warren buffet? Anyway, just some due diligence  before i decide to plonk in more money if it goes down further.



Comparing the 767 (old model ) vs 787(new model), indeed, SIA engineering, like Comfortdelgro, Singpost, SPH is facing the disruption due to new technologies. Using the above comparision, if every old plane is replaced with a new one and assuming the total number of planes serviced does not increase, SIA engineering will be facing with a 65% reduction in total man-hours.
We are indeed entering a new era of technology disrupting our lifes!

Wednesday, October 4, 2017

Curious case of SIA Engineering

Straits Times reported a massive selling of 38.8 million shares in SIA engineering by JP Morgan. This likely being the reason why it plunged 6% to $3.15.


BUT................A look at the Twenty Shareholders breakdown in their latest Annual Report shows Singapore Airlines Limited holding on to 77.72%

JP Morgan is not in the list. So where did JP Morgan get 38.8 million shares to sell?A look at SGX website Stockfacts on 04/10/2017 also shows JP Morgan not in the list.

The next biggest shareholder is Matthews , holding 22,873,500 shares which is much lesser than JP Morgan's short sale volume of 38.8 million. How do i make sense of this? Are the facts of the reporting wrong? Did JP Morgan borrow shares to short this counter? How did JP Morgan get 38.8 million shares unless Matthews ,Seafarer and some others combined to lend them the shares? Matthews and Seafarers don't seem to be subsidiaries of JP Morgan, based on my brief check on the internet .Will see the short sale report tmr. 

I just stopped eating my prawn mee soup and added some shares to my existing collection. Given its recurring free cashflow, no debt, 4 plus% dividend yield, again, its a sin not to buy since stocks are like rubber band.

Haven't been following this counter for years but a brief search on the internet word says about new aircrafts needing less maintenance, hurting SIA engineering. DBS research in July 2017 noted in their report about a potential catalyst regarding a merger with ST Aerospace or privatization with SIA. ( huh where did this thinking come from?? I can't find any supporting evidence.) . Anyhow, let's hope for the best!

Analysts: Suvro Sarker and Glenn Ng
Source:dbsvickers.com