Tuesday, September 7, 2010

The Small Caps Stock Adventure

No investment has been done since the beginning of 2010 till today 7 September 2010. Stocks, especially blue chips ones, have been running up like crazy. We missed an opportunity last week to load some more Singpost due to trying to gain a 0.01 cent advantage...damn it! See how far it rose from $1.13 to $1.23 within 1 week!!!Arrgh. I spotted the aggressive quantity of share buybacks of Singpost, whenever it touches $1.12 or $1.13 and therefore entered with CONVICTION but missed just cos i queued at $1.12."%%$#*@&@^!%@#$@%@". But its alright..hehe..another one will come as always and i have vested in it last year, so nothing to complain. Just for your information on the performance of Singpost, up up and away!










Having about 90% of my portfolio vested in blue chip stocks during the crisis,the valuation of such stocks are not very attractive, having reached near their 52 week highs and price exceeding their net asset valuation by quite a bit. Europe and US seems to be sputtering along and the asian region seems to be doing better. In very general terms, the economy is on a better footing than before though risks still remain but the probability of going back to the crisis again is low. (We are still keeping some opportunity cash just in case). Investing in companies that are focused on the asian region seems like a logical choice now. Given this backdrop, we have started to look at small cap to medium cap stocks whose revenue is predominantly derived from asia.Honestly, we find it a challenge to research and source out for the perfect small-medium(SM) cap stock. Unlike the blue chips ones,for SM ones, there will always be an aspect to it that is an eyesore like everything will be good about it, but they are giving out too much rights or everything about it will be good but directors have bought it cheaply at low price before, so buying it at a higher price feels damn sian to me. Nevertheless, i bought into Tai Sin today having considered the pros and cons.





We like it that they are giving out dividends consistently every year. This shows that they are shareholder oriented. This is bloody important. This stock can be a capital growth stock, and dividends along the way just makes the wait for the capital growth more bearable. At current price, dividend yield is approximately 7.5%. According to their latest financial statements, there is one upcoming dividend ($0.01)as it has been recommended by the board, but yet to be reflected on SGX website as of now.















We like that their current price is below their Net Asset Value per share.






We like that their directors are buying at $0.225.Go to Tai Sin insider trades. If you look further back through the months, some of their directors have paid prices ranging from $0.34 to $0.15. See for yourself. The interesting part is that some of the shares were given as a gift for a daughter's wedding from the parents and uncles. This further point to the likelihood of focus on shareholder value. Come on, will you give your close kin shares which wont add value. Possible, but unlikely.







We like it that they are pretty near their 52 week low. See for yourself....you unbelieving soul!




Just for your information, here is a look at the historical prices since 2005. Tai Sin has hit a high of $0.595 before in 2007.

On a final note, go look at theprojects they have done in the past, from circle line mrt, marina barrage, bedok water reclaimation plant, sentosa development project, changi airport....Remember the national day rally about the $60 billion upgrading rail lines government project announced by PM.....hmm maybe,maybe, only time will tell. As an endnote,this stock is still not perfect.........Do your research yourself!

Important: The objective of the articles in this blog is to set you thinking about the company before you invest your hard-earned money. Do not invest solely based on this article. Unlike House or Instituitional Analysts who have to maintain relations with corporations due to investment banking relations, generating commissions,e.t.c, SGDividends say things as it is, factually. Unlike Analyst who have to be "uptight" and "cheem", we make it simplified and cheapskate. -The Vigilante Investor, SGDividends Team

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Keeping an Open Mind to Opportunities

Talking to some people can be really exasperating. When one explains a sure-win strategy to make money to them with absolutely zero risk and no commission earned whatsoever, they will first ask, sure or not. They will then close their minds and the idea is dismissed. To be fair, i agree that when things are too good to be true, they probably are, BUT , i still stick to the philosophy that NOTHING OR NO IDEA should be dismissed without exploring or investigating first. Taking a phrase from the bible( Dont mistake me for a holy cow cos i am definitely not, neither am i evangelising, its just something which has been sticking in my head recently, dont know why....)
" A farmer went to sow his seed, some fell along the path;it was trampled on and the birds ate it up. Some fell on rock, and when it came up, the plants withered because they had no moisture. Other seed fell among thorns, which grew up with it and choked the plants. Still other seeds fell on good soil. It came up and yielded a crop, a hundred times more than was sown." - Luke 8, verse 5-8

There is no objective or this article, really. Just thinking about the opportunities that one finds in their everyday life which one should really listen to and keep an open mind. Think about the trading courses from T3B or Mirriam, hmm, honestly, do they work? Maybe they do, maybe not? Maybe its just a situation where good ideas were sowed but but it fell on rocks where some people do not take action, maybe, rules were not followed and the "birds ate them up"...hmm.




Thursday, October 1, 2009

Playing It Safe.Growing it Slowly But Surely With a Peace of Mind.

Ok yeah we haven't been updating for soooo long but well...we needed a break. Anyway the meteoric rise of the stock market makes us sick in the belly as we just didnt have any bullets left to pump in. Haizz...just spraying some water guns here and there..pathetic!!!!!Well guess there is a season for everything and we should be thankful. Anyway, now we have got some money and October does seem to be a potential month where stocks are likely to go down after the euphoria. Why do we say this?
Looking at the Baltic Dry Index which according to Wilkepedia is :
"An assessment of the price of moving the major raw materials by sea. Taking in 26 shipping routes measured on a timecharter and voyage basis, the index covers Handymax, Panamax, and Capesize dry bulk carriers carrying a range of commodities including coal, iron ore and grain." It has been going down since June 09 and some stocks are being squeezed into a tight consolidated range between the bollinger bands which classically signifies a impending move.Besides it well know that in Sep and Oct stocks do dip statistically.

But oh heck with it. We just bought some SIA Engineering and SMRT shares recently and yes we are impatient and thats bad ...really bad..illogical and unwise.Simply put...stupid.Anyway, as fundamental investors, we dont try to catch the bottom nor the top. We just wanna catch NEAR the LOCAL bottom or LOCAL top and we are in heaven. Hope nothing unforseen happens!So why these seemingly boring stocks. SMRT..what the heck!

Frankly, we did consider buying SMRT since March April of 2009 and we dismissed it in favour of other stocks as we couldnt see much growth then, other than a very very stable business sans a terrorist attack. But the news that it recently was able to sell some bonds at a low 2 +% interest caught our eye. The news that it recently concluded an acquisition of a 49% stake in China's Zona Group caught our eye. The knowledge that a certain director bought some shares in August 2009 at $1.73 made our eyebrows twitch. ( though its only 10,000 shares lah).Looking at the past dividend yield, it has been steady and increasing too and we having taken lots of MRT lately...its a super cash cow, ready for overseas expansion with their Singapore business as an ATM machine. Just look at the army of corporate warriors going to work every morning being squeezed like sardines.......One thing about this business though is that it is highly regulated by the government to keep the cost of living affordable to the majority. Anyhow..worst case we treat this stock like buying a bond, best case, it expands more aggressively overseas to justify a higher stock price and/or higher dividends.Basically, we think it the best tranport stock to own in Singapore.

So how about SIA Engineering? We figured that Singapore is becoming the center of MRO in Asia Pacific with the government paying special attention to this area. We also figured that the Singapore Airlines Group of company which comprises of Silkair, Tiger Airways, Virgin and SIA already provides a base of recurring clientship for this company. In addition, SIA is noted for being at the forefront of flying new planes like the A380 which means SIA Engineering got expertise compared with her peers. Anyhow, having briefly a stint in the aviation industry, we do think that this is a kind of engineering work where people dont just outsource to low cost countries or companies as the consequence of a shabbily done job is catastrophic. We also think that this company will be one of the beneficiaries of the spillover effect from the casinos in Singapore....OK we also noted the following...
Options were granted to employees with an exercise price of $2.25 - $4.67 to be exercisable from 2006 - 2018 and the current price now is about $2.59. Sounds pretty decent with a quite high dividend yield of 6.15% with a quite steady historical dividend payout. Well...why not...besides their ratios are fantastic.

Oh well...discipline my friend..we are working on it. Luckily, we still have some bullets left for the rest of October. Let's hit the low. Its just a game..

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Important: The objective of the articles in this blog is to set you thinking about the company before you invest your hard-earned money. Do not invest solely based on this article. Unlike House or Instituitional Analysts who have to maintain relations with corporations due to investment banking relations, generating commissions,e.t.c, SGDividends say things as it is, factually. Unlike Analyst who have to be "uptight" and "cheem", we make it simplified and cheapskate. -The Vigilante Investor, SGDividends Team